The two losses were just bad picks, I don’t know why I keep picking against the Jets at home and taking Detroit in general, but at least we had a winning week. The Seattle game was a big one and Jacksonville covering was huge and to all of our surprise, it was Blake Bortles who led the way.

  • Last Week: 3-2
  • Overall: 35-28-2

  • New Orleans Saints +1 at Atlanta Falcons

Finally, a Thursday Night game to give a shit about. This is a big game in the NFC South and Atlanta needs it to stay alive in the competitive NFC playoff race. Too bad, the Saints run game has been absolutely incredible and Alvin Kamara is destined for ROTY. Love the Saints on the road here.

  • San Francisco 49ers at Houston Texans -3

The Niners came to Chicago last week, and, exactly as I predicted, won 15-14 on 5 Robbie Gould field goals. They will not do the same in Houston. I think Garoppolo is going to be great, but the offense just isn’t there. In Tom Savage We Trust.

  • Washington Redskins +6 at Los Angeles Chargers

Hell of a quarterback matchup in this one, Kirk vs Phil. I don’t think Washington is as bad as their 5-7 record indicates. Kirk Cousins has played pretty well all season and the defense has been up and down. This feels like a field goal game to me where Rivers comes back late in the 4th to win it.

  • New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins +11.5

We got burned on this gambling rule earlier in the year, always take a double-digit home underdog. So here we are, taking Jay Cutler and the Dolphins at home against the best team in the NFL. If you wanted to fade me here, I do not blame you, TB12 and company have already covered a 17.5-point spread this season, insane. They will, however, be without Gronk and that *might* slightly affect the offense, but I think Miami can keep this one in the single-digits.

  • Green Bay Packers -3.5 at Cleveland Browns

Feel free to buy the half point and knock it down to a football number, but I think the Pack win this by at least a TD. This game is to keep the playoff hopes alive for the return of Aaron Rodgers, if you think Green Bay loses this one, you’re crazy. Brett Hundley has been less than spectacular, but the Pack and Mike McCarthy will figure out a way to win this game.