Predicting the Top 16 Seeds in the NCAA Tournament

The recent move by the NCAA Tournament committee is back this Saturday as they will release their top 16 seeds as of now. I don’t think there will be as much controversy at the top as there has been in years past. But it will be interesting to see what the committee does with teams like Houston and Nevada who have one loss each but haven’t necessarily played the toughest schedules. Michigan State will also be an intriguing case as they lost Joshua Langford for the year and have lost 3 straight games since.

1 Seeds

Tennessee Volunteers 21-1
Duke Blue Devils 20-2
Gonzaga Bulldogs 21-2
Virginia Cavaliers 20-1

As I mentioned above, theses four seem pretty straightforward to me and have established themselves above the rest. Duke and Virginia obviously meet again before these seeds are released, but I don’t think it’ll be enough to drop either out of a 1. Gonzaga is still working Killian Tillie back into the rotation and still winning games. And while Tennessee hasn’t looked as good as we’ve seen them, they’re still winning.

2 Seeds

Kentucky Wildcats 19-3
Michigan Wolverines 21-2
Nevada Wolfpack 22-1
North Carolina Tar Heels 18-4

This is an interesting group of teams. Kentucky has been red-hot since the Alabama loss and look to be the biggest challenger in the SEC to Tennessee. Michigan has struggled a bit recently but is still a legitimate National Championship contender. Then come Nevada and North Carolina. I personally am a huge fan of the Wolfpack, I think they’re one of the most skilled and deepest teams in America. That said, they get too jump shot happy and you could see that in the loss to New Mexico. The Tar Heels are starting to find themselves and will be dangerous when they hit their jump shots.

3 Seeds

Houston Cougars 22-1
Michigan State Spartans 18-5
Virginia Tech Hokies 18-4
Kansas Jayhawks 17-6

Realistically, I think Kansas is a 4-seed, but going off years past, I think the Jayhawks will get the benefit of the doubt. This is a group of three struggling teams and one under the radar. I think Houston is a lot better than people are giving them credit for. They should be unbeaten, but a tough charge call at the buzzer cost them their only game. Michigan State was mentioned above and they have lost 3 straight. I think the Spartans will be okay, but they need to find a big win whether it’s Wisconsin or Michigan (they play twice). Virginia Tech won the ugliest game of the year and has a loss to Penn State, but they’re talented and play outstanding defense. Justin Robinson is the key to the Hokies staying in the top-16.

4 Seeds

Marquette Golden Eagles 19-4
Villanova Wildcats 19-4
Louisville Cardinals 17-6
Purdue Boilermakers 16-6

This was the toughest group to pick with a few other teams just slightly on the outside looking in. Marquette and Villanova play this weekend and there’s a possibility that it knocks the loser out of a 4-seed. Marquette just lost at home to St. John’s and even that might be enough to knock them down to a 5. Louisville just keeps winning and Chris Mack has to be up for Coach of the Year. I gave Purdue the edge over a few other teams because the Boilermakers are turning it on at the right time. They’ve won 7 straight behind the dominance of Carsen Edwards, he is capable of leading this team to the 2nd weekend on his own.

Just Missed the cut: Iowa State Cyclones, Texas Tech Red Raiders, Wisconsin Badgers

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B-Frank

People forget: Gordon Bombay only coached the Ducks because it was a court order.

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